The IMF “sees” signs of resilience for the Greek economy. In its report on the World Economic Outlook, the Fund maintained the estimates for high growth rates both this year and next year, remaining at levels higher than the European average.
Unemployment, according to the Fund’s estimates, will record a faster decline compared to previous forecasts, falling below 10% this year and below 9% in 2026. However, the inflation target at 2%, according to the Fund, will not be achieved until 2027, as it will remain at higher levels in 2026.
According to the IMF, Greece’s economic growth rates will be almost double the eurozone average, at 2%, while the same rate (2%) will be maintained in 2026. These forecasts are lower than the estimates of the National Economy and Finance Ministry, which, based on the 2026 draft budget, sees growth rates of 2.2% in 2025 and 2.4% in 2024.
Regarding inflation, the Fund estimated that it will move at higher levels compared to the spring forecasts. More specifically, inflation in Greece will reach 3.1% in 2025 and decline to 2.5% next year, higher than the Eurozone where it is projected to reach 2.1% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. Based on the draft budget, inflation this year will “close” at 2.6% to decline further to 2.2% in 2026.
Regarding unemployment, the IMF predicted that it will decline to 9% this year and to 8.4% in 2026.
